Download Eurasian Energy Security (Council Special Report) by Jeffrey Mankoff PDF

By Jeffrey Mankoff

As global power costs proceed to upward thrust and Russia's oil and gasoline creation speed up, Russian officers more and more speak in their state as an "energy superpower." through reversing the industrial decline of the Nineties, Russia's oil and gasoline have given the Kremlin the monetary assets —as good because the self assurance —to act as an immense overseas energy with an more and more assertive international coverage. This document examines Russia's power coverage from the viewpoint of U.S. safeguard pursuits. It concludes that the foreign scenario is probably critical. The Kremlin might use its keep an eye on over strength to strain its instant associates, who rely on oil and fuel deliveries that move into Russian territory. the ecu Union, seriously depending on Russian power, could have in all probability restricted flexibility in facing Russia, developing discord inside of Europe. And the development of pipelines to East Asia, coupled with swift call for development in China, India, and in different places, will make the Kremlin an important participant in Asian protection. as well as comparing the present U.S. method of Russia's energy-fueled objectives, the file bargains strong coverage ideas for Washington and the recent management.

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Interview with Anders Åslund, September 16, 2008. 22. See Misha Glenny, “Gas and Gangsters,” New Statesman, March 3, 2008. The most notorious figure connected to RosUkrEnergo was reputed Russian mobster Semyon Mogilevich, who was arrested by Russian police in January 2008. “Gazovoi bin Laden,” Kommersant Vlast, no. 4 (757), February 4, 2008. 23. Deliveries through BTC were disrupted shortly before the war started as the result of an explosion on the pipeline’s Turkish sector blamed on Kurdish rebels.

Interview: US still opposes Iran as Nabucco gas supplier,” Reuters UK, June 5, 2008. 27. Aleksei Miller, “Poyavilsya Monstr! ” Interview with Natalya Grib, Kommersant, June 29, 2007. pdf. 28. S.

A short-term fall in demand resulting from the onset of a severe recession in 2008 also works in Europe’s favor, because it creates a buyer’s market for gas and weakens Gazprom’s market position. Even if Gazprom faces long-run production constraints, its immediate problem is excess supply in the face of falling demand. 33 This favorable convergence of circumstances will not last forever; it is vital, therefore, that the EU and its members take advantage of the opportunity while it exists. Support an Integrated Gas Market in Europe To effectively integrate Russia into a European energy market, the EU first must construct an integrated market for natural gas, an enormously complicated undertaking and one it has pursued for close to fifteen years.

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